WileOut's Blog

Beating the bookmaker without creating your own line

2/18/2010 1:09:53 PM by WileOut
I thought about putting this in the Think Tank but nah.

Let's face it, most of us don't have the time and/or ability to come up with our own line that is better than the bookmaker's line. For those of us who fit this category (which is most people gambling), lets get a discussion going on other ways to beat the bookmaker than coming up with your own line.

Many of us are smart enough to come up with a better line if we were shown how to do it, or had the time to learn to...

One way to win betting tennis

1/27/2010 2:45:01 PM by WileOut
You bet the dogs, but you do it selectively, and the main thing...FOLLOW INJURIES. Tennis obviously is one on one and injuries play a much bigger part of the game. But the lines don't reflect it sometimes. Guys like Roddick with little tweaks, and Nadal with his tendenitis. Murray should have been a -180 or so in that match. Nadal was seeded higher and public all over him so Murray was only -120 to -130. Also many people bet tennis who don't know anything about it. It really helps to have played the...

Baseball Managers

11/2/2009 5:00:04 AM by WileOut
I swear you could put a monkey in there and baseball teams would come out the same, probably a little better. Just let the players have a democracy and do what they know is the right thing to do.

I have seen Joe Girardi make possibly more mistakes than any baseball manager I have ever seen. The decision tonight to wait until the 9th to put Rivera on the mound is the tip of the iceberg.

Girardi will win a ring and will have absolutely no influence in his team winning.

Take Bobby Cox. The guy won all...

Questions about line movement

9/1/2009 12:05:01 PM by WileOut
I have 3 questions about line movement.

First question..in baseball, is most of the ML movement related to the release of the rosters? Or is it simply that the books release sometimes a wildly incorrect line? Because daily many games move A LOT.

2nd question, why do people arb out of a good line position? When you do this, you are simply taking the market shaped line. It guarantees profit today but in the long run I would think this would definitely lower your profit because you are combining a +EV bet (the original bet when...
WileOut's Blog
WileOut's Board

Write on WileOut's Board:


WileOut's Handicapper Network
Copyright © SBR Forum. All Rights Reserved. Terms of Use
Advertisement