One way to win betting tennis

January 27, 2010 by WileOut
You bet the dogs, but you do it selectively, and the main thing...FOLLOW INJURIES. Tennis obviously is one on one and injuries play a much bigger part of the game. But the lines don't reflect it sometimes. Guys like Roddick with little tweaks, and Nadal with his tendenitis. Murray should have been a -180 or so in that match. Nadal was seeded higher and public all over him so Murray was only -120 to -130. Also many people bet tennis who don't know anything about it. It really helps to have played the... More...

Baseball Managers

November 2, 2009 by WileOut
I swear you could put a monkey in there and baseball teams would come out the same, probably a little better. Just let the players have a democracy and do what they know is the right thing to do.

I have seen Joe Girardi make possibly more mistakes than any baseball manager I have ever seen. The decision tonight to wait until the 9th to put Rivera on the mound is the tip of the iceberg.

Girardi will win a ring and will have absolutely no influence in his team winning.

Take Bobby Cox. The guy won all... More...

Questions about line movement

September 1, 2009 by WileOut
I have 3 questions about line movement.

First question..in baseball, is most of the ML movement related to the release of the rosters? Or is it simply that the books release sometimes a wildly incorrect line? Because daily many games move A LOT.

2nd question, why do people arb out of a good line position? When you do this, you are simply taking the market shaped line. It guarantees profit today but in the long run I would think this would definitely lower your profit because you are combining a +EV bet (the original bet when... More...
 
 
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